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Red43
76459.9
315821.3
90917.4
Blue52
364816.9
943221.7
69813.0
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions42453050604352

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3158
#13
21.30.2
18.718.9
Auto7.4
Teleop12.8
End1.1
blue by 0.4
21.71.0
19.920.8
Auto6.3
Teleop13.9
End1.5
Second
7645
#40
9.90.3
12.813.1
Auto2.9
Teleop6.4
End0.6
blue by 7.0
3648
#15
16.91.0
11.412.4
Auto4.7
Teleop10.6
End1.6
Third
9091
#19
7.40.3
6.77.0
Auto2.6
Teleop3.7
End1.2
blue by 5.6
698
#28
13.01.0
9.410.3
Auto4.5
Teleop6.4
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
16%Melody oddsMissed29%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed19%Ensemble oddsMissed