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Red13
28404.9
9918.5
603632.9
Blue69
49826.3
775513.8
609.8
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5836020801001369

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.93.0
31.128.1
Auto10.1
Teleop21.6
End1.2
red by 6.7
498
#9
26.32.8
16.419.1
Auto4.7
Teleop21.1
End0.5
Second
991
#29
8.54.1
9.04.9
Auto4.4
Teleop3.1
End1.0
blue by 5.3
7755
#18
13.83.8
8.612.4
Auto4.5
Teleop7.9
End1.4
Third
2840
#37
4.94.1
9.65.5
Auto1.7
Teleop1.7
End1.5
blue by 5.0
60
#30
9.83.8
10.013.8
Auto3.0
Teleop5.1
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
45%Melody oddsMissed26%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsMissed