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Red55
635216.9
69625.5
265920.8
Blue95
970411.4
325628.0
690722.2
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions716640506080901001105595

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
696
#11
25.50.2
25.725.5
Auto6.9
Teleop17.8
End0.8
blue by 2.5
28.00.4
27.528.0
Auto11.2
Teleop14.8
End2.0
Second
20.80.2
21.120.8
Auto6.3
Teleop10.9
End3.6
blue by 1.4
22.20.5
21.722.2
Auto7.9
Teleop14.2
End0.1
Third
6352
#17
16.90.2
17.116.9
Auto5.1
Teleop9.7
End2.0
red by 5.5
9704
#34
11.40.5
10.911.4
Auto3.0
Teleop7.7
End0.7