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Red63
641316.8
49826.3
364816.9
Blue62
970411.4
325628.0
690722.2
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions61692040801001206362

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
498
#9
26.30.2
25.125.2
Auto4.7
Teleop21.1
End0.5
blue by 1.7
28.00.0
28.028.0
Auto11.2
Teleop14.8
End2.0
Second
3648
#15
16.90.2
15.715.9
Auto4.7
Teleop10.6
End1.6
blue by 5.3
22.20.0
22.222.2
Auto7.9
Teleop14.2
End0.1
Third
6413
#14
16.80.2
15.415.6
Auto6.4
Teleop9.8
End0.6
red by 5.4
9704
#34
11.40.0
11.411.4
Auto3.0
Teleop7.7
End0.7