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Red112
603632.9
950115.5
312828.3
Blue57
315821.3
609.8
41468.4
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8838020608010012014011257

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.90.6
31.932.5
Auto10.1
Teleop21.6
End1.2
red by 11.6
3158
#13
21.30.3
21.621.3
Auto7.4
Teleop12.8
End1.1
Second
28.30.6
27.327.9
Auto10.6
Teleop16.3
End1.4
red by 18.5
60
#30
9.80.4
10.29.8
Auto3.0
Teleop5.1
End1.7
Third
9501
#23
15.50.6
14.415.0
Auto6.1
Teleop7.7
End1.6
red by 7.1
4146
#22
8.40.3
8.78.3
Auto4.0
Teleop4.3
End0.1