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Red67
690722.2
325628.0
970411.4
Blue53
69625.5
265920.8
635216.9
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions657140506080901006753

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.00.1
27.327.4
Auto11.2
Teleop14.8
End2.0
red by 2.5
696
#11
25.50.2
25.725.5
Auto6.9
Teleop17.8
End0.8
Second
22.20.1
21.521.5
Auto7.9
Teleop14.2
End0.1
red by 1.4
20.80.3
21.020.7
Auto6.3
Teleop10.9
End3.6
Third
9704
#34
11.40.1
10.610.7
Auto3.0
Teleop7.7
End0.7
blue by 5.5
6352
#17
16.90.3
17.116.8
Auto5.1
Teleop9.7
End2.0