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Red59
19919.6
110016.7
50112.6
Blue69
454622.1
856713.5
192220.9
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions528701001502005969

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1100
#56
16.70.4
25.726.1
Auto8.7
Teleop7.2
End0.9
blue by 5.4
22.11.1
25.224.1
Auto9.5
Teleop12.7
End-0.0
Second
501
#31
12.60.4
13.613.9
Auto5.4
Teleop5.2
End2.1
blue by 8.3
1922
#27
20.91.1
29.828.8
Auto7.5
Teleop10.8
End2.7
Third
1991
#55
9.60.4
12.112.5
Auto5.3
Teleop4.0
End0.3
blue by 4.0
8567
#33
13.51.1
19.418.3
Auto7.3
Teleop6.6
End-0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
31%Melody oddsMissed89%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
23%Ensemble oddsMissed20%Ensemble oddsMissed