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Red74
279116.5
22626.7
346719.4
Blue86
146831.8
944317.4
7825.6
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions831070501502007486

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3467
#32
19.40.2
44.644.4
Auto6.5
Teleop10.7
End2.1
blue by 12.4
1468
#16Sur
31.80.5
30.830.2
Auto10.0
Teleop18.3
End3.5
Second
16.50.2
19.819.5
Auto6.9
Teleop6.8
End2.8
blue by 9.1
78
#26
25.60.5
34.433.9
Auto9.8
Teleop14.3
End1.4
Third
2262
#43
6.70.2
13.213.0
Auto6.9
Teleop-0.4
End0.1
blue by 10.8
9443
#17
17.40.5
28.628.1
Auto8.8
Teleop6.3
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
87%Melody oddsEarned97%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
39%Ensemble oddsMissed68%Ensemble oddsEarned