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Red68
870814.9
404823.1
208414.0
Blue82
10738.9
271321.8
4827.0
44%Model gave it56%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions70840501001502002506882

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.10.2
29.529.7
Auto11.1
Teleop9.9
End2.1
blue by 3.9
48
#11
27.01.5
25.624.1
Auto7.2
Teleop18.5
End1.4
Second
8708
#34
14.90.2
17.818.0
Auto6.6
Teleop5.6
End2.7
blue by 6.9
2713
#19
21.81.5
34.432.9
Auto9.9
Teleop11.6
End0.4
Third
2084
#48
14.00.2
17.818.0
Auto7.2
Teleop6.9
End-0.0
red by 5.1
1073
#29
8.91.5
14.713.2
Auto4.5
Teleop3.5
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
54%Melody oddsEarned93%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
21%Ensemble oddsMissed20%Ensemble oddsEarned