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Red44
19919.6
87245.4
172110.8
Blue59
31922.7
287219.5
92957.1
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions515020304060704459

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1721
#57
10.80.0
12.812.7
Auto4.9
Teleop3.8
End2.0
blue by 11.9
319
#7
22.70.5
24.825.3
Auto7.9
Teleop14.7
End0.1
Second
1991
#55
9.60.0
12.512.4
Auto5.3
Teleop4.0
End0.3
blue by 10.0
2872
#20
19.50.5
18.619.1
Auto6.8
Teleop11.6
End1.2
Third
8724
#59
5.40.0
19.419.4
Auto3.1
Teleop1.8
End0.5
blue by 1.7
9295
#47
7.10.5
3.33.9
Auto3.3
Teleop1.7
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
37%Melody oddsMissed26%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed