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Red64
862610.6
110016.7
7825.6
Blue96
105826.9
16621.3
17732.1
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions781090501001502006496

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
78
#26
25.61.0
33.932.9
Auto9.8
Teleop14.3
End1.4
blue by 6.5
177
#13
32.10.0
33.933.9
Auto13.0
Teleop17.1
End2.1
Second
1100
#56
16.71.0
26.125.1
Auto8.7
Teleop7.2
End0.9
blue by 10.2
1058
#22
26.90.0
30.330.3
Auto10.1
Teleop14.6
End2.1
Third
8626
#52
10.61.0
14.613.6
Auto7.5
Teleop2.5
End0.6
blue by 10.6
166
#4
21.30.0
31.231.2
Auto11.5
Teleop8.0
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
82%Melody oddsMissed95%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
29%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsEarned