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Red83
279116.5
208414.0
632833.9
Blue45
234213.5
490923.2
808518.5
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1017302040601201401608345

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.90.3
50.650.3
Auto14.8
Teleop14.7
End4.5
red by 10.7
4909
#18
23.21.6
29.127.5
Auto9.9
Teleop11.6
End1.7
Second
16.50.3
19.519.2
Auto6.9
Teleop6.8
End2.8
blue by 2.0
8085
#42
18.51.6
24.022.4
Auto7.1
Teleop7.6
End3.8
Third
2084
#48
14.00.3
18.017.6
Auto7.2
Teleop6.9
End-0.0
red by 0.5
2342
#53
13.51.6
16.014.4
Auto3.8
Teleop9.8
End0.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
95%Melody oddsEarned37%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
72%Ensemble oddsMissed46%Ensemble oddsMissed