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Red36
12543.9
19919.6
22626.7
Blue68
404110.7
404823.1
15721.4
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions757240506080901003668

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
125
#10
43.92.4
42.139.7
Auto14.8
Teleop23.6
End5.6
red by 20.8
23.10.4
29.729.3
Auto11.1
Teleop9.9
End2.1
Second
1991
#55
9.62.4
12.410.1
Auto5.3
Teleop4.0
End0.3
blue by 11.8
157
#12
21.40.4
18.317.8
Auto8.1
Teleop11.7
End1.6
Third
2262
#43
6.72.4
13.010.6
Auto6.9
Teleop-0.4
End0.1
blue by 4.1
4041
#40
10.70.4
17.417.0
Auto3.4
Teleop6.9
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
48%Melody oddsMissed42%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
49%Ensemble oddsMissed32%Ensemble oddsMissed