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Red35
46724.7
242314.1
17359.3
Blue94
287219.5
45759.1
271321.8
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions607301001502003594

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
467
#37
24.71.4
22.421.1
Auto9.0
Teleop13.2
End2.5
red by 2.9
2713
#19
21.81.7
32.934.5
Auto9.9
Teleop11.6
End0.4
Second
2423
#58
14.11.4
19.818.4
Auto6.2
Teleop6.4
End1.4
blue by 5.5
2872
#20
19.51.7
19.120.8
Auto6.8
Teleop11.6
End1.2
Third
1735
#50
9.31.4
13.512.1
Auto5.6
Teleop2.4
End1.3
red by 0.3
4575
#45
9.11.7
12.113.8
Auto4.4
Teleop4.3
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
37%Melody oddsMissed34%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
19%Ensemble oddsMissed22%Ensemble oddsMissed