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Red61
19012.4
176832.9
10738.9
Blue76
944317.4
287725.9
454622.1
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions779402040601201401606176

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1768
#30
32.91.0
34.233.1
Auto9.6
Teleop22.3
End0.9
red by 7.0
2877
#39
25.90.8
31.330.5
Auto9.8
Teleop13.3
End2.9
Second
190
#49
12.41.0
24.323.2
Auto7.8
Teleop3.8
End0.9
blue by 9.7
22.10.8
24.023.2
Auto9.5
Teleop12.7
End-0.0
Third
1073
#29
8.91.0
13.212.2
Auto4.5
Teleop3.5
End0.9
blue by 8.5
9443
#17
17.40.8
28.127.4
Auto8.8
Teleop6.3
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
87%Melody oddsMissed85%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed32%Ensemble oddsMissed