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Red74
287617.5
13128.4
16621.3
Blue47
87245.4
179645.5
63246.0
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions100904060801201407447

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
131
#3
28.41.0
38.437.4
Auto12.1
Teleop11.4
End4.9
blue by 17.0
45.52.4
53.250.8
Auto15.0
Teleop25.6
End4.9
Second
166
#4
21.31.0
28.627.6
Auto11.5
Teleop8.0
End1.8
red by 15.3
6324
#44
6.02.4
14.311.9
Auto3.7
Teleop1.8
End0.5
Third
2876
#21
17.51.0
22.621.5
Auto10.3
Teleop5.0
End2.3
red by 12.2
8724
#59
5.42.4
15.312.9
Auto3.1
Teleop1.8
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
94%Melody oddsEarned73%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
78%Ensemble oddsMissed26%Ensemble oddsMissed