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Red55
172918.0
870814.9
287219.5
Blue66
854417.3
7825.6
287725.9
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions68900501001502005566

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2872
#20
19.50.6
20.219.5
Auto6.8
Teleop11.6
End1.2
blue by 6.4
2877
#39
25.90.9
29.228.3
Auto9.8
Teleop13.3
End2.9
Second
1729
#23
18.00.6
23.723.1
Auto11.5
Teleop6.3
End0.2
blue by 7.6
78
#26
25.60.9
32.331.4
Auto9.8
Teleop14.3
End1.4
Third
8708
#34
14.90.6
20.319.7
Auto6.6
Teleop5.6
End2.7
blue by 2.4
8544
#24
17.30.9
17.616.7
Auto7.5
Teleop7.7
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
44%Melody oddsMissed91%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
26%Ensemble oddsEarned55%Ensemble oddsEarned