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Red58
15721.4
715311.9
856713.5
Blue41
242314.1
317121.6
208414.0
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions506402040801001205841

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
157
#12
21.40.4
17.818.2
Auto8.1
Teleop11.7
End1.6
blue by 0.2
3171
#25
21.61.0
22.821.8
Auto6.5
Teleop12.6
End2.5
Second
8567
#33
13.50.4
18.318.7
Auto7.3
Teleop6.6
End-0.4
blue by 0.5
2423
#58
14.11.0
18.417.4
Auto6.2
Teleop6.4
End1.4
Third
7153
#35
11.90.4
10.711.1
Auto5.4
Teleop4.3
End2.2
blue by 2.1
2084
#48
14.01.0
15.014.0
Auto7.2
Teleop6.9
End-0.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
17%Melody oddsEarned56%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
14%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed