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Red76
490923.2
17732.1
271321.8
Blue70
237022.9
192220.9
944317.4
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions105934060801201401607670

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
177
#13
32.11.5
33.431.9
Auto13.0
Teleop17.1
End2.1
red by 9.2
2370
#15
22.91.4
29.828.5
Auto10.1
Teleop12.5
End0.3
Second
4909
#18
23.21.5
28.226.7
Auto9.9
Teleop11.6
End1.7
red by 2.3
1922
#27
20.91.4
27.426.1
Auto7.5
Teleop10.8
End2.7
Third
2713
#19
21.81.5
32.230.6
Auto9.9
Teleop11.6
End0.4
red by 4.4
9443
#17
17.41.4
28.126.7
Auto8.8
Teleop6.3
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
94%Melody oddsEarned82%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
49%Ensemble oddsMissed76%Ensemble oddsMissed