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Red56
78699.6
862610.6
45759.1
Blue68
19012.4
234213.5
19919.6
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions365302060801001205668

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8626
#52
10.61.2
10.812.0
Auto7.5
Teleop2.5
End0.6
blue by 2.9
2342
#53
13.51.2
14.215.4
Auto3.8
Teleop9.8
End0.0
Second
7869
#46
9.61.2
8.49.6
Auto5.9
Teleop2.1
End1.6
blue by 2.9
190
#49
12.41.2
23.424.6
Auto7.8
Teleop3.8
End0.9
Third
4575
#45
9.11.2
15.016.2
Auto4.4
Teleop4.3
End0.3
blue by 0.5
1991
#55
9.61.2
8.49.6
Auto5.3
Teleop4.0
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
5%Melody oddsMissed14%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
4%Ensemble oddsMissed13%Ensemble oddsMissed