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Red88
17359.3
31922.7
17732.1
Blue47
69428.4
147412.5
208414.0
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions80910501502002503003504008847

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
177
#13
32.14.5
32.136.6
Auto13.0
Teleop17.1
End2.1
red by 3.7
694
#14
28.49.6
28.438.0
Auto5.8
Teleop19.9
End2.8
Second
319
#7
22.70.9
22.723.6
Auto7.9
Teleop14.7
End0.1
red by 8.6
2084
#48
14.05.8
14.019.9
Auto7.2
Teleop6.9
End-0.0
Third
1735
#50
9.33.9
9.313.2
Auto5.6
Teleop2.4
End1.3
blue by 3.2
1474
#38
12.53.6
12.516.1
Auto7.0
Teleop3.6
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
76%Melody oddsEarned85%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
28%Ensemble oddsMissed41%Ensemble oddsMissed