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Red73
172918.0
10738.9
22816.9
Blue43
346719.4
45759.1
15721.4
19%Model gave it81%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions621010501507343

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1729
#23
18.09.3
18.027.3
Auto11.5
Teleop6.3
End0.2
blue by 3.4
157
#12
21.41.1
21.420.2
Auto8.1
Teleop11.7
End1.6
Second
228
#36
16.90.6
16.917.5
Auto7.6
Teleop8.9
End0.4
blue by 2.5
3467
#32
19.425.6
19.445.0
Auto6.5
Teleop10.7
End2.1
Third
1073
#29
8.97.5
8.916.4
Auto4.5
Teleop3.5
End0.9
blue by 0.1
4575
#45
9.13.6
9.112.6
Auto4.4
Teleop4.3
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
71%Melody oddsMissed77%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
14%Ensemble oddsEarned27%Ensemble oddsMissed