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Red50
7825.6
615314.8
13128.4
Blue94
632833.9
19919.6
176832.9
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions109117501001502005094

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
131
#3
28.49.6
28.438.0
Auto12.1
Teleop11.4
End4.9
blue by 5.5
33.919.2
33.953.1
Auto14.8
Teleop14.7
End4.5
Second
78
#26
25.68.3
25.633.9
Auto9.8
Teleop14.3
End1.4
blue by 7.4
1768
#30
32.93.1
32.936.1
Auto9.6
Teleop22.3
End0.9
Third
6153
#41
14.82.3
14.817.1
Auto5.1
Teleop9.6
End0.2
red by 5.2
1991
#55
9.62.6
9.612.1
Auto5.3
Teleop4.0
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
94%Melody oddsMissed99%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
88%Ensemble oddsMissed65%Ensemble oddsMissed