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Red56
234213.5
287219.5
454622.1
Blue51
12617.7
205315.2
490923.2
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions74760501001502005651

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.13.0
22.125.2
Auto9.5
Teleop12.7
End-0.0
blue by 1.1
4909
#18
23.25.5
23.228.7
Auto9.9
Teleop11.6
End1.7
Second
2872
#20
19.52.0
19.521.5
Auto6.8
Teleop11.6
End1.2
red by 1.9
126
#54
17.73.7
17.721.4
Auto6.2
Teleop9.3
End2.2
Third
2342
#53
13.54.5
13.518.0
Auto3.8
Teleop9.8
End0.0
blue by 1.7
2053
#51
15.20.1
15.215.1
Auto6.1
Teleop7.8
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
68%Melody oddsMissed77%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed19%Ensemble oddsMissed