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Red61
46724.7
92957.1
404823.1
Blue81
13128.4
279116.5
205315.2
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6081020401001201406181

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
467
#37
24.70.0
20.120.0
Auto9.0
Teleop13.2
End2.5
blue by 3.7
131
#3
28.40.0
37.437.4
Auto12.1
Teleop11.4
End4.9
Second
23.10.0
29.629.5
Auto11.1
Teleop9.9
End2.1
red by 6.6
16.50.0
18.218.2
Auto6.9
Teleop6.8
End2.8
Third
9295
#47
7.10.0
7.17.1
Auto3.3
Teleop1.7
End2.1
blue by 8.1
2053
#51
15.20.0
15.415.4
Auto6.1
Teleop7.8
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
36%Melody oddsMissed78%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsEarned57%Ensemble oddsMissed