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Red85
287725.9
15721.4
31922.7
Blue96
632833.9
50112.6
105826.9
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions741112040601001201401608596

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2877
#39
25.90.6
28.328.9
Auto9.8
Teleop13.3
End2.9
blue by 8.0
33.91.7
50.548.8
Auto14.8
Teleop14.7
End4.5
Second
319
#7
22.70.6
25.025.6
Auto7.9
Teleop14.7
End0.1
blue by 4.2
1058
#22
26.91.7
30.829.2
Auto10.1
Teleop14.6
End2.1
Third
157
#12
21.40.6
18.218.7
Auto8.1
Teleop11.7
End1.6
red by 8.8
501
#31
12.61.7
14.713.0
Auto5.4
Teleop5.2
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
63%Melody oddsEarned81%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
31%Ensemble oddsMissed57%Ensemble oddsEarned