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Red85
854417.3
454622.1
740733.1
Blue83
172110.8
346719.4
715311.9
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions83722040601001208583

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7407
#28
33.10.6
32.533.1
Auto10.9
Teleop17.8
End4.4
red by 13.7
3467
#32
19.40.8
43.344.1
Auto6.5
Teleop10.7
End2.1
Second
22.10.6
24.825.4
Auto9.5
Teleop12.7
End-0.0
red by 10.2
7153
#35
11.90.8
11.111.9
Auto5.4
Teleop4.3
End2.2
Third
8544
#24
17.30.6
16.717.3
Auto7.5
Teleop7.7
End2.1
red by 6.5
1721
#57
10.80.8
12.212.9
Auto4.9
Teleop3.8
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
87%Melody oddsEarned56%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
25%Ensemble oddsMissed32%Ensemble oddsMissed