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Red91
17732.1
237022.9
856713.5
Blue24
22626.7
87245.4
10738.9
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions96320204060801201409124

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
177
#13
32.10.2
31.932.1
Auto13.0
Teleop17.1
End2.1
red by 23.2
1073
#29
8.91.2
13.612.5
Auto4.5
Teleop3.5
End0.9
Second
2370
#15
22.90.2
28.528.7
Auto10.1
Teleop12.5
End0.3
red by 16.2
2262
#43
6.71.2
10.08.8
Auto6.9
Teleop-0.4
End0.1
Third
8567
#33
13.50.2
18.718.9
Auto7.3
Teleop6.6
End-0.4
red by 8.2
8724
#59
5.41.2
12.911.7
Auto3.1
Teleop1.8
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
94%Melody oddsEarned18%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed3%Ensemble oddsMissed