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Red42
147412.5
242314.1
7825.6
Blue55
192220.9
808518.5
12617.7
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7371506080904255

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
78
#26
25.61.7
31.429.7
Auto9.8
Teleop14.3
End1.4
red by 4.6
1922
#27
20.90.9
26.125.1
Auto7.5
Teleop10.8
End2.7
Second
2423
#58
14.11.7
17.415.7
Auto6.2
Teleop6.4
End1.4
blue by 4.4
8085
#42
18.50.9
19.418.5
Auto7.1
Teleop7.6
End3.8
Third
1474
#38
12.51.7
16.715.0
Auto7.0
Teleop3.6
End1.9
blue by 5.2
126
#54
17.70.9
18.617.7
Auto6.2
Teleop9.3
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
63%Melody oddsMissed52%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
75%Ensemble oddsMissed53%Ensemble oddsEarned