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Red100
13128.4
147412.5
12543.9
Blue93
46724.7
287219.5
172918.0
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9864020408012014016010093

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
125
#10
43.90.7
44.743.9
Auto14.8
Teleop23.6
End5.6
red by 19.2
467
#37
24.70.6
25.324.7
Auto9.0
Teleop13.2
End2.5
Second
131
#3
28.413.0
41.428.4
Auto12.1
Teleop11.4
End4.9
red by 8.9
2872
#20
19.52.9
22.419.5
Auto6.8
Teleop11.6
End1.2
Third
1474
#38
12.55.9
18.412.5
Auto7.0
Teleop3.6
End1.9
blue by 5.5
1729
#23
18.09.1
27.118.0
Auto11.5
Teleop6.3
End0.2