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Red60
404823.1
854417.3
7825.6
Blue107
740733.1
69428.4
87245.4
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7473506070809010060107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
78
#26
25.611.8
37.325.6
Auto9.8
Teleop14.3
End1.4
blue by 7.5
7407
#28
33.12.9
36.033.1
Auto10.9
Teleop17.8
End4.4
Second
23.14.4
27.523.1
Auto11.1
Teleop9.9
End2.1
blue by 5.3
694
#14
28.411.8
40.328.4
Auto5.8
Teleop19.9
End2.8
Third
8544
#24
17.31.5
18.817.3
Auto7.5
Teleop7.7
End2.1
red by 12.0
8724
#59
5.415.2
20.65.4
Auto3.1
Teleop1.8
End0.5