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Red108
19012.4
22816.9
287725.9
Blue96
271321.8
279116.5
317121.6
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6067020408010012014010896

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2877
#39
25.90.0
25.925.9
Auto9.8
Teleop13.3
End2.9
red by 4.1
2713
#19
21.80.0
21.821.8
Auto9.9
Teleop11.6
End0.4
Second
228
#36
16.90.0
16.916.9
Auto7.6
Teleop8.9
End0.4
blue by 4.8
3171
#25
21.60.0
21.621.6
Auto6.5
Teleop12.6
End2.5
Third
190
#49
12.412.2
24.712.4
Auto7.8
Teleop3.8
End0.9
blue by 4.1
16.53.4
19.916.5
Auto6.9
Teleop6.8
End2.8