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Red32
69027.9
61885.1
850310.5
Blue47
442117.6
28817.6
73324.1
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3137010205060703247

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8503
#10
10.52.4
9.57.1
Auto3.4
Teleop5.1
End1.9
blue by 7.2
4421
#11
17.61.6
14.215.8
Auto7.0
Teleop9.4
End1.2
Second
6902
#14
7.92.4
8.96.6
Auto3.0
Teleop2.6
End2.3
blue by 9.7
288
#7
17.61.6
12.514.1
Auto6.4
Teleop9.6
End1.6
Third
6188
#16
5.12.4
10.07.6
Auto2.8
Teleop1.7
End0.6
red by 1.0
7332
#32
4.11.6
6.37.8
Auto1.3
Teleop2.7
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
15%Melody oddsMissed17%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed