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Red24
95504.4
639013.6
71674.0
Blue20
833810.0
2447.6
71909.7
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions333210203040502420

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6390
#19
13.60.6
11.010.5
Auto7.5
Teleop5.4
End0.7
red by 3.6
8338
#34
10.01.0
8.97.9
Auto3.7
Teleop4.6
End1.7
Second
9550
#35
4.40.6
8.98.3
Auto1.6
Teleop1.4
End1.3
blue by 5.4
7190
#12
9.71.0
8.17.1
Auto4.0
Teleop3.9
End1.8
Third
7167
#21
4.00.6
9.38.7
Auto2.5
Teleop0.5
End1.0
blue by 3.6
244
#30
7.61.0
12.311.3
Auto2.0
Teleop4.0
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
16%Melody oddsMissed16%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed