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Red35
97194.7
850310.5
28817.6
Blue15
92773.7
2447.6
63518.4
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions332801020405060703515

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
288
#7
17.60.7
14.415.1
Auto6.4
Teleop9.6
End1.6
red by 9.2
6351
#27
8.41.2
7.56.3
Auto3.7
Teleop3.9
End0.7
Second
8503
#10
10.50.7
6.26.9
Auto3.4
Teleop5.1
End1.9
red by 2.9
244
#30
7.61.2
10.49.2
Auto2.0
Teleop4.0
End1.6
Third
9719
#23
4.70.7
8.49.1
Auto1.8
Teleop1.4
End1.4
red by 0.9
9277
#33
3.71.2
8.16.8
Auto1.7
Teleop1.7
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
11%Melody oddsMissed11%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsMissed