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Red16
92926.7
16227.3
71909.7
Blue52
639013.6
94497.5
918012.9
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions263501020304050601652

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7190
#12
9.71.0
8.37.3
Auto4.0
Teleop3.9
End1.8
blue by 3.9
6390
#19
13.60.7
11.712.4
Auto7.5
Teleop5.4
End0.7
Second
1622
#28
7.31.0
9.28.2
Auto2.3
Teleop3.2
End1.8
blue by 5.6
12.90.7
9.910.6
Auto3.7
Teleop9.0
End0.2
Third
9292
#20
6.71.0
7.36.3
Auto2.5
Teleop3.1
End1.0
blue by 0.9
9449
#13
7.50.7
9.09.8
Auto3.0
Teleop3.3
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
11%Melody oddsMissed17%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed