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Red32
76885.6
546117.6
14528.9
Blue55
61885.1
71674.0
35932.0
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions24470204060803255

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
17.60.5
11.210.7
Auto6.4
Teleop9.7
End1.5
blue by 14.3
359
#1
32.00.0
24.924.9
Auto12.8
Teleop15.9
End3.2
Second
1452
#17
8.90.5
6.66.1
Auto5.7
Teleop1.7
End1.6
red by 3.9
6188
#16
5.10.0
7.57.5
Auto2.8
Teleop1.7
End0.6
Third
7688
#26
5.60.5
6.86.3
Auto2.3
Teleop2.2
End1.1
red by 1.7
7167
#21
4.00.0
7.67.6
Auto2.5
Teleop0.5
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
11%Melody oddsMissed18%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsEarned12%Ensemble oddsMissed