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Red46
63518.4
918012.9
850310.5
Blue22
95504.4
833810.0
72877.2
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions27265101520303540454622

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
12.90.8
10.611.4
Auto3.7
Teleop9.0
End0.2
red by 2.9
8338
#34
10.00.2
8.88.5
Auto3.7
Teleop4.6
End1.7
Second
8503
#10
10.50.8
6.97.7
Auto3.4
Teleop5.1
End1.9
red by 3.3
7.20.2
6.36.0
Auto2.3
Teleop3.7
End1.1
Third
6351
#27
8.40.8
6.37.1
Auto3.7
Teleop3.9
End0.7
red by 4.0
9550
#35
4.40.2
9.18.9
Auto1.6
Teleop1.4
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
9%Melody oddsMissed9%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsMissed