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Red53
636420.4
97194.7
639013.6
Blue16
96495.6
61885.1
14528.9
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions44210103040506070805316

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.41.3
15.416.8
Auto9.4
Teleop9.2
End1.7
red by 11.4
1452
#17
8.90.6
6.15.5
Auto5.7
Teleop1.7
End1.6
Second
6390
#19
13.61.3
12.413.7
Auto7.5
Teleop5.4
End0.7
red by 8.0
9649
#25
5.60.6
8.07.4
Auto2.2
Teleop2.7
End0.7
Third
9719
#23
4.71.3
9.110.4
Auto1.8
Teleop1.4
End1.4
blue by 0.4
6188
#16
5.10.6
7.56.9
Auto2.8
Teleop1.7
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
15%Melody oddsEarned9%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed