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Red26
71909.7
964111.7
94497.5
Blue42
442117.6
76885.6
425315.9
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions29390102050602642

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9641
#24
11.70.2
10.510.3
Auto4.0
Teleop5.8
End1.9
blue by 5.9
4421
#11
17.60.6
15.916.5
Auto7.0
Teleop9.4
End1.2
Second
7190
#12
9.70.2
7.37.2
Auto4.0
Teleop3.9
End1.8
blue by 6.2
15.90.6
12.212.8
Auto5.5
Teleop8.8
End1.6
Third
9449
#13
7.50.2
9.89.6
Auto3.0
Teleop3.3
End1.3
red by 1.9
7688
#26
5.60.6
6.36.9
Auto2.3
Teleop2.2
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
13%Melody oddsMissed11%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed