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Red46
77966.7
92926.7
28817.6
Blue51
546117.6
21623.3
71357.9
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2938010205060704651

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
288
#7
17.61.8
15.116.9
Auto6.4
Teleop9.6
End1.6
blue by 5.7
216
#3
23.31.4
15.116.5
Auto8.0
Teleop13.0
End2.4
Second
7796
#36
6.71.8
6.07.8
Auto4.1
Teleop1.7
End0.9
blue by 10.9
17.61.4
10.712.1
Auto6.4
Teleop9.7
End1.5
Third
9292
#20
6.71.8
6.38.2
Auto2.5
Teleop3.1
End1.0
blue by 1.3
7135
#18
7.91.4
7.48.8
Auto4.7
Teleop1.7
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
10%Melody oddsMissed10%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed15%Ensemble oddsMissed