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Red46
14528.9
918012.9
833810.0
Blue10
83395.7
73324.1
69027.9
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions292551015203540454610

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
12.92.1
11.413.5
Auto3.7
Teleop9.0
End0.2
red by 5.0
6902
#14
7.92.0
7.95.8
Auto3.0
Teleop2.6
End2.3
Second
8338
#34
10.02.1
8.510.6
Auto3.7
Teleop4.6
End1.7
red by 4.3
8339
#22
5.72.0
8.96.8
Auto2.5
Teleop2.0
End1.3
Third
1452
#17
8.92.1
5.57.5
Auto5.7
Teleop1.7
End1.6
red by 4.8
7332
#32
4.12.0
6.74.6
Auto1.3
Teleop2.7
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
8%Melody oddsMissed8%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed