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Red46
2447.6
427027.8
94497.5
Blue8
97194.7
14528.9
92773.7
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4526010203040506070468

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.80.3
22.222.5
Auto8.5
Teleop14.7
End4.6
red by 18.9
1452
#17
8.92.2
7.55.3
Auto5.7
Teleop1.7
End1.6
Second
244
#30
7.60.3
7.47.6
Auto2.0
Teleop4.0
End1.6
red by 2.9
9719
#23
4.72.2
12.210.0
Auto1.8
Teleop1.4
End1.4
Third
9449
#13
7.50.3
8.99.2
Auto3.0
Teleop3.3
End1.3
red by 3.8
9277
#33
3.72.2
6.34.0
Auto1.7
Teleop1.7
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
12%Melody oddsMissed15%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
16%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed