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Red39
72877.2
636420.4
964111.7
Blue34
425315.9
546117.6
73324.1
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4129010205060703934

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.40.4
17.618.0
Auto9.4
Teleop9.2
End1.7
red by 2.7
17.60.5
11.712.2
Auto6.4
Teleop9.7
End1.5
Second
9641
#24
11.70.4
10.210.6
Auto4.0
Teleop5.8
End1.9
blue by 4.2
15.90.5
11.612.0
Auto5.5
Teleop8.8
End1.6
Third
7.20.4
7.88.2
Auto2.3
Teleop3.7
End1.1
red by 3.1
7332
#32
4.10.5
4.65.1
Auto1.3
Teleop2.7
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
21%Melody oddsMissed8%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed