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Red14
97194.7
442117.6
96495.6
Blue46
546117.6
71738.1
92926.7
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions333101020405060701446

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4421
#11
17.61.4
17.115.7
Auto7.0
Teleop9.4
End1.2
Level
17.61.0
15.416.5
Auto6.4
Teleop9.7
End1.5
Second
9649
#25
5.61.4
5.54.2
Auto2.2
Teleop2.7
End0.7
blue by 2.5
7173
#29
8.11.0
7.48.4
Auto3.2
Teleop4.3
End0.6
Third
9719
#23
4.71.4
6.95.5
Auto1.8
Teleop1.4
End1.4
blue by 2.0
9292
#20
6.71.0
5.66.6
Auto2.5
Teleop3.1
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
12%Melody oddsMissed7%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
4%Ensemble oddsMissed12%Ensemble oddsMissed