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Red70
83395.7
21623.3
35932.0
Blue39
636420.4
551610.0
2447.6
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions67392060801007039

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
359
#1
32.00.0
28.928.9
Auto12.8
Teleop15.9
End3.2
red by 11.6
20.40.4
21.020.6
Auto9.4
Teleop9.2
End1.7
Second
216
#3
23.30.0
21.821.8
Auto8.0
Teleop13.0
End2.4
red by 13.3
5516
#15
10.00.4
9.89.4
Auto3.4
Teleop6.3
End0.4
Third
8339
#22
5.70.0
6.97.0
Auto2.5
Teleop2.0
End1.3
blue by 1.9
244
#30
7.60.4
7.97.5
Auto2.0
Teleop4.0
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
32%Melody oddsEarned21%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
13%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed