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Red22
61885.1
833810.0
77966.7
Blue51
964111.7
92926.7
427027.8
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions215204060802251

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8338
#34
10.00.2
10.210.0
Auto3.7
Teleop4.6
End1.7
blue by 17.8
27.80.6
25.626.2
Auto8.5
Teleop14.7
End4.6
Second
7796
#36
6.70.2
7.47.2
Auto4.1
Teleop1.7
End0.9
blue by 5.0
9641
#24
11.70.6
11.512.1
Auto4.0
Teleop5.8
End1.9
Third
6188
#16
5.10.2
5.14.9
Auto2.8
Teleop1.7
End0.6
blue by 1.6
9292
#20
6.70.6
6.67.2
Auto2.5
Teleop3.1
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
5%Melody oddsMissed19%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsEarned