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Red56
21623.3
442117.6
71738.1
Blue49
72877.2
83395.7
94497.5
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions562004060805649

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
216
#3
23.30.4
21.822.3
Auto8.0
Teleop13.0
End2.4
red by 15.8
9449
#13
7.50.3
8.07.8
Auto3.0
Teleop3.3
End1.3
Second
4421
#11
17.60.4
15.716.1
Auto7.0
Teleop9.4
End1.2
red by 10.4
7.20.3
7.37.1
Auto2.3
Teleop3.7
End1.1
Third
7173
#29
8.10.4
8.48.9
Auto3.2
Teleop4.3
End0.6
red by 2.4
8339
#22
5.70.3
7.06.7
Auto2.5
Teleop2.0
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
15%Melody oddsMissed11%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
4%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsEarned