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Red71
35932.0
69027.9
96495.6
Blue19
918012.9
73324.1
97194.7
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions46230103040506070807119

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
359
#1
32.01.4
28.930.3
Auto12.8
Teleop15.9
End3.2
red by 19.0
12.90.4
13.913.5
Auto3.7
Teleop9.0
End0.2
Second
6902
#14
7.91.4
5.87.2
Auto3.0
Teleop2.6
End2.3
red by 3.2
9719
#23
4.70.4
5.55.1
Auto1.8
Teleop1.4
End1.4
Third
9649
#25
5.61.4
4.25.6
Auto2.2
Teleop2.7
End0.7
red by 1.4
7332
#32
4.10.4
4.33.9
Auto1.3
Teleop2.7
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
25%Melody oddsEarned17%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsMissed5%Ensemble oddsMissed