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Red34
96578.7
948413.8
827612.4
Blue16
96176.8
96145.8
70339.3
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions35270204060801003416

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
13.80.9
11.010.0
Auto6.9
Teleop4.7
End2.2
red by 4.6
7033
#36
9.31.2
7.96.6
Auto3.5
Teleop3.8
End2.0
Second
8276
#22
12.40.9
10.89.8
Auto6.0
Teleop6.1
End0.3
red by 5.6
9617
#39
6.81.2
8.67.4
Auto3.0
Teleop3.0
End0.9
Third
9657
#41
8.70.9
8.87.8
Auto4.8
Teleop3.7
End0.2
red by 2.8
9614
#54
5.81.2
8.77.5
Auto1.3
Teleop3.9
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
29%Melody oddsMissed15%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed